Tablets and Touch Adoption Expected to Drive Mobile PC Shipments Through 2017

The mobile PC market is expected to increase from 367.6 million units shipped in 2012 to 762.7 million globally by 2017, driven by touch-enabled form-factors, according to the NPD DisplaySearch. The majority of this shift will come as cheapest tablet PCs begin to replace notebook PCs this year as the dominant mobile form-factor, and touch becomes a key feature in mobile PC adoption.

“The mobile PC industry is undergoing significant change this year. The rapid rise and establishment of white box tablet PCs (tablets made by small local brands, mainly in China) is putting pressure on traditional notebook PCs. These low-cost tablets are reaching further into emerging regions where notebook PC penetration rates have remained low, resulting in cannibalization by tablet PCs,” said Richard Shim, senior analyst with NPD DisplaySearch.

Tablet PC shipments are forecast to increase 67% year-over-year to 256.5 million in 2013, and reach 579.4 million by 2017. White box tablet PCs accounted for one-third of 8 inch tablet PC shipments in 2012 and will maintain at that level for the next several years.sfdD3Ssjh

Notebook PC shipments are expected to decline 10% over the next four years, from 203.3 million in 2013 to 183.3 million in 2017, but there will be pockets of growth. Shipments of notebooks with touch capabilities are expected to grow 48% year-over-year in 2014.

In the notebook category, touch will be used mainly in ultra-slim PCs, which includes Intel-specified ultrabooks, the MacBook Air, and other slim form factor notebooks. Ultra-slims, which are at the premium end of the notebook market, are forecast to account for two-thirds of touch-enabled notebooks in 2013. By 2017, they will be 80%. Intel’s recent mandate that third-generation ultrabooks (using the company’s next generation Haswell processors) must include touch will also help adoption.

Tablets and notebooks will merge. In the future only very few tablets will not have an official keyboard/cover, and only few notebooks will not have touch screen.Touch screens on traditional notebooks and AIO desktops are a joke, the only reason they are being produced is to satisfy W8...........which no one wants/likes unless used with in discount cell phones form.